
GYC Insights
An extensive library of financial articles rooted in research and data-science, written with the experience of decades in the industry.
Liberation Day and The Biggest Volatility Crash of All Time
The Volatility Index just experienced its biggest crash of all time. Is there a connection to Liberation Day? What does this then mean for markets moving forward?
Are US Treasuries in Trouble?
Many investors are worried by the May 16 news that Moody’s downgraded the US government’s debt from AAA to AA. What headlines will usually leave out is that the other 2 ratings agencies did so years ago (S&P, Aug 2011. Fitch, Aug 2023)
The Gold Rush
The price of gold has done nothing but go up since 2023. Possible reasons include central banks, tariffs, USD depreciation, recession risks, etc. The common theme for these reasons? Uncertainty in financial markets.
Two Conditions to Time The Market
A survey of investor expectations of the stock market showed that the general consensus that now is not a good time to invest, with the recent tariff turmoil, high uncertainty, and low returns. The funny thing is the response was the exact opposite barely 3 months earlier.
Are You Protected from SGD Appreciation?
The appreciation of SGD can create a strange situation where you have relatively increased buying power, while also likely experiencing a decrease in your portfolio returns. Are your portfolios poised to handle these fluctuations?
Demystifying Myths about the U.S. Trade Deficit
While recent news will often highlight the US trade deficit on goods, a fact that is often not talked about is how the U.S. dominates in services, being the largest services exporter in the world.
Have You Heard of The ‘Death Cross’?
The Death Cross showed up last Thursday for the first time since Jan 2023. What does the data say about the near future of markets?
Markets (seem) to Be Undergoing a Change
Bonds, an effective diversifier to equity market losses. Enter 2022 with double-digit losses. US stocks dominating market returns, outpacing international markets in 12 out of the last 15 years. Enter 2025, currently -10%, with a maximum decline of -19.2%. There is no market rule that won’t be broken eventually.
Is The Recession Here Already?
After years of recession forecasts, is the recession finally here? Currently it’s too soon to say, but it seems like investors expect is that tariffs would affect company earnings over the next year.
Why The Penguins?
The announcement and the varying severity of the tariffs do not appear to be well thought out, and as a funny factoid, included obscure islands with zero humans and only penguin inhabitants. What does this brashness mean for markets?
Market’s Worrying You? Read This
Snappy headlines concerning markets have been rampant, with mixed reports about the future of the US economy — is your portfolio going to be alright?
Be Aware of this Risk in Retirement
Like mountain climbing, the descent into retirement can be dangerous without a guide. But with a skilled adviser and the right tools, it can be an exciting journey —not a stressful one.
Tariff-ic Times
Markets always swing between fear and euphoria based on the prevailing news. A well-thought-out investment plan and proper portfolio construction will help you to stay seated during uncertain times and cut through the market noise.
Afraid of Opportunities
Many investors are overly fearful of being wrong, so they are late to invest in markets with great potential. At GYC, our data-driven approach cuts through the noise and we are positioned to capitalise on opportunities when they arise and nimble enough to respond if conditions deteriorate to conserve capital.
Are We There Yet?
Market volatility often sparks recession fears, but nobody has been able to accurately forecast the timing of a recession. As markets react ahead of economic news, selling in uncertainty may result in missed opportunities.
Overlook International Stocks At Your Own Risk
With the S&P 500 dropping nearly 10% in early 2025, media headlines might scream panic. However, if you were holding global stocks, it would be a different story entirely.
Everything Screams Recession
The recent sell-off coupled with headlines designed to catch your attention with implied recession pronouncements can leave investors feeling grim, but the data and market indicators suggest that this market dislocation possibly presents a wealth creation opportunity.
Dividends: Does It Help Investors?
Professor Siegal shows that over the long term, stocks that paid the highest levels of dividends had lower risk and higher returns, but correlation does not always mean causation — let’s look at the data more granularly.